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Pubblicazioni Scientifiche

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Pubblicazioni per anno
Does complex always mean powerful? A comparison of eight methods for interpolation of climatic data in Mediterranean area
Mostra abstract
Biodiversity will probably be threatened by climate change effects and the Mediterranean area is a well know hotspot of genetic diversity. Climatic data are a very important source of information for those studies and the aim of this work was to study and compare eight methods for spatial interpolation of climatic data and indices including parametric and non-parametric methods, deterministic, regressive and geostatistical. The Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), relative RMSE (rRMSE) and relative BIAS (rBIAS) were calculated to assess algorithm’s performances in a Mediterranean region. None of the eight methods performed much better than others with a very complex physiographic environment. The range of errors was very high and rRMSE varied from 3.8% to 295%. Anyway, even in case of low differences among methods and despite the necessity of the assumption of normality of data, the interpolation at local scale with parametric and geostatistical methods (e.g. kriging or cokriging) should be preferred to globally-interpolated climatic data due to the possibility to obtain the distribution of prediction’s error. © 2017, Patron Editore S.r.l. All rights reserved.
Regions of provenance for reproductive materials of the three main forest species of Abruzzi
Mostra abstract
Regions of provenance of reproductive materials are a mandatory tool for the management of forest genetic resources in Europe. Italian regulation (D. Lgs. 386/2003), in contrast with other European countries, gives this role to regional administrations. Here we present a map of the Regions of Provenance for Abruzzi in central Italy. Three environmental zones were identified according to climatic variability using a spatial clustering procedure and the three main forest species for the region were mapped: European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.), European black pine (Pinus nigra J.F. Arnold) and Turkey oak (Quercus cerris L.). The results show that the main driving factors for clustering are temperature regimes reflecting the contrast between the continental climate of the interior of the region versus the Mediterranean climate on the coast. This effect was also evident in the delineation of the Regions of Provenance for the three main species where elevation plays a key role in the selection of seed stands. The Regions of Provenance of the three species will be used for the correct management of forest reproductive materials collected from the six seed stands of the Region. © 2016 Ugo Chiavetta.