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Pubblicazioni Scientifiche

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Pubblicazioni per anno
From model selection to maps: A completely design-based data-driven inference for mapping forest resources
Mostra abstract
A completely data-driven, design-based sampling strategy is proposed for mapping a forest attribute within the spatial units tessellating a survey region. Based on sample data, a model is selected, and model parameters are estimated using least-squares criteria for predicting the attribute of interest within units as a linear function of a set of auxiliary variables. The spatial interpolation of residuals arising from model predictions is performed by inverse distance weighting. The leave-one-out cross validation procedure is adopted for selecting the smoothing parameter used for interpolation. The densities of the attributes of interest within units are estimated by summing predictions and interpolated residuals. Finally, density estimates are rescaled to match the total estimate over the survey region obtained by the traditional regression estimator with the total estimate obtained from the map as the sum of the density estimates within units. A bootstrap procedure accounts for the uncertainty. The consistency of the strategy is proven by incorporating previous results. A simulation study is performed and an application for mapping wood volume densities in the forest estate of Rincine (Central Italy) is described. © 2022 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Probabilistic sampling and estimation for large-scale assessment of poplar plantations in Northern Italy
Mostra abstract
In the recent decades, growing demand for wood products, combined with efforts to conserve natural forests, has supported a steady increase in the global extent of planted forests. In this paper, a two-phase sampling strategy for large-scale assessment of hybrid poplar plantations in Northern Italy was implemented. The first phase was performed by means of tessellation stratified sampling on high-resolution remotely sensed imagery, covering the survey area by a grid of regular polygons of equal size and randomly and independently selecting one point per quadrat. All the plantations spotted by at least one sample point were selected. In the second phase, we randomly chosen a subset of plantations by stratified sampling that were visited on the ground to collect qualitative and quantitative attributes. The resulting estimates were reliable, and the survey demonstrated relatively easy to be implemented and replicated. These considerations support the use of the proposed sampling strategy to frequently update information on fast-growing forest plantations within agricultural farms, like hybrid poplar crops. Moreover, the results of the case study here presented highlight the relevance of hybrid poplar plantations in Italy, in the context of sustainable development strategies under a green economy perspective. © 2020, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
Large-scale two-phase estimation of wood production by poplar plantations exploiting sentinel-2 data as auxiliary information
Mostra abstract
Growing demand for wood products, combined with efforts to conserve natural forests, have supported a steady increase in the global extent of planted forests. Here, a two-phase sampling strategy for large-scale assessment of the total area and the total wood volume of fast-growing forest tree crops within agricultural land is presented. The first phase is performed using tessellation stratified sampling on high-resolution remotely sensed imagery and is sufficient for estimating the total area of plantations by means of a Monte Carlo integration estimator. The second phase is performed using stratified sampling of the plantations selected in the first phase and is aimed at estimating total wood volume by means of an approximation of the first-phase Horvitz-Thompson estimator. Vegetation indices from Sentinel-2 are exploited as freely available auxiliary information in a linear regression estimator to improve the design-based precision of the estimator based on the sole sample data. Estimators of the totals and of the design-based variances of total estimators are presented. A simulation study is developed in order to check the design-based performance of the two alternative estimators under several artificial distributions supposed for poplar plantations (random, clustered, spatially trended). An application in Northern Italy is also reported. The regression estimator turns out to be invariably better than that based on the sole sample information. Possible integrations of the proposed sampling scheme with conventional national forest inventories adopting tessellation stratified sampling in the first phase are discussed. © 2020, Finnish Society of Forest Science. All rights reserved.
Estimating tree diversity in forest ecosystems by two-phase inventories
Mostra abstract
Several studies reveal that there is a strong interconnection between climate change and biodiversity. Indeed, estimating plant biodiversity is an important issue under forest ecosystem monitoring, which allows the evaluation of carbon storage and sequestration capacity. To this end, a two-phase strategy, suitably compatible with the most adopted sampling designs in large-scale forest inventories, is proposed. In the first phase, tessellation stratified sampling is performed by partitioning the study area into a grid of quadrats and by randomly selecting a point in each quadrat. The first-phase points are classified as forest or nonforest using remotely sensed imagery. In the second phase, a sample of points is selected from those classified as forest by means of simple random sampling without replacement. The second-phase points constitute the centers of circular plots that are visited in the field to record plant species (usually trees) and their abundance. Estimators of abundance and diversity and estimators of their variances are presented. The proposed strategy is applied in a forest area from Central Italy, as a case study. With respect to the sampling effort, the resulting estimates of relative standard errors are satisfactory, especially those regarding the overall total and diversity index estimators. The proposed statistical approach represents a suitable reference for integrated forest inventory frameworks effectively supporting biodiversity monitoring and assessment. © 2018 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Inference on forest attributes and ecological diversity of trees outside forest by a two-phase inventory
Mostra abstract
Key message: Trees outside forests (TOF) have crucial ecological and social-economic roles in rural and urban contexts around the world. We demonstrate that a large-scale estimation strategy, based on a two-phase inventory approach, effectively supports the assessment of TOF’s diversity and related climate change mitigation potential. Context: Although trees outside forest (TOF) affect the ecological quality and contribute to increase the social and economic developments at various scales, lack of data and difficulties to harmonize the known information currently limit their integration into national and global forest inventories. Aims: This study aims to develop and test a large-scale estimation framework to assess ecological diversity and above-ground carbon stock of TOF. Methods: This study adopts a two-phase inventory approach. Results: In the surveyed territory (Molise region, Central Italy), all the attributes considered (tree abundance, basal area, wood volume, above-ground carbon stock) are concentrated in a few dominant species. Furthermore, carbon stock in TOF above-ground biomass is non-negligible (on average: 28.6 t ha<sup>−1</sup>). Compared with the low field sampling effort (0.08% out of 52,796 TOF elements), resulting uncertainty of the estimators are more than satisfactory, especially those regarding the diversity index estimators (relative standard errors < 10%). Conclusion: The proposed approach can be suitably applied on vast territories to support landscape planning and maximize ecosystem services balance from TOF. © 2018, INRA and Springer-Verlag France SAS, part of Springer Nature.
Checking the performance of point and plot sampling on aerial photoimagery of a large-scale population of trees outside forests
Mostra abstract
The present study investigates some sampling strategies for the estimation of abundance and canopy cover of trees outside forest (TOF) over large areas. A collection of about 53 000 TOF units in Central Italy was acquired by visual, on-screen interpretation of aerial orthophotos and was taken as the reference population with the purpose of investigating: (i) one-phase inventories with sample points located by means of the tessellation stratified sampling (TSS), which involves covering the study region by a grid of regular polygons of equal sizes and randomly and independently selecting a point in each of them; (ii) two-phase inventories with the one-per-stratum stratified sampling adopted in the second phase to select a sample of polygons from the grid and then visit only the points contained in those polygons. Uniform random sampling is also considered in the first phase as a benchmark for tessellation stratified sampling. The sampling schemes adopted to select TOF units at the sample points are as follows: (i) point sampling, (ii) centroid-based plot sampling with plot radius of 50m(CPLS50) or 100 m, and (iii) plot intersect sampling with plot radius of 50 or 100 m. CPLS50 under single-phase TSS proves to be a promising strategy to large-scale TOF inventories. © 2016, Canadian Science Publishing. All rights reserved.