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Pubblicazioni Scientifiche
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Performance assessment of two plotless sampling methods for density estimation applied to some Alpine forests of northeastern Italy
accuracy
conditional inference trees
distance-based density estimator
forest monitoring
ordered distance method
point-centred quarter method
precision
Mostra abstract
In this study, we tested two plotless sampling methods, the ordered distance method and point-centred quarter method, to estimate the tree density and basal area in some managed Alpine forests in northeastern Italy. We selected nine independent forest stands, classified according to the spatial distribution patterns of trees (cluster, random, regular). A plotless sampling survey was simulated within the selected stands and the tree density and basal area were estimated by applying both the ordered distance method and point-centred quarter method. We compared the estimates, in terms of accuracy and preci-sion, between the two methods and against estimates obtained from a simulated survey based on a plot-based sampling method. The point-centred quarter method outperformed the ordered distance method in terms of both accuracy and precision, showing higher robustness towards the bias related to non-random spatial patterns. However, both the plotless methods we tested can provide unbiased accuracy of estimates which, in addition, do not differ from estimates of plot-based sampling. The satisfactory results are encouraging for further tests over other Italian Alpine as well as Apennine forests. If con-firmed, the plotless sampling method, especially the point-centred quarter method, could represent an effective alternative whenever plot-based sampling is deemed redundant, or expensive. © SISEF.
Masting is uncommon in trees that depend on mutualist dispersers in the context of global climate and fertility gradients
Qiu
,
Tong
,
Aravena Acuña
,
Marie Claire
,
Ascoli
,
Davide
,
Bergeron
,
Yves
,
Bogdziewicz
,
Michał
,
Boivin
,
Thomas
,
Bonal
,
Raúl
,
Caignard
,
Thomas
,
Cailleret
,
Maxime
,
Calama
,
Rafael A.
,
Calderon
,
Sergio Donoso
,
Camarero
,
Jesús Julio
,
Chang-Yang
,
Chia Hao
,
Chave
,
Jérôme
,
Chianucci
,
Francesco
,
Courbaud
,
Benoít
,
Cutini
,
Andrea
,
Das
,
Adrian J.
,
Delpierre
,
Nicolas
,
Delzon
,
Sylvain
,
Dietze
,
Michael C.
,
Dormont
,
Laurent
,
Espelta
,
Josep Maria
,
Fahey
,
Timothy J.
,
Farfan-Rios
,
William R.
,
Franklin
,
Jerry F.
,
Gehring
,
Catherine A.
,
Gilbert
,
Gregory S.
,
Gratzer
,
Georg
,
Greenberg
,
Cathryn H.
,
Guignabert
,
Arthur
,
Guo
,
Qinfeng
,
Hacket-Pain
,
Andrew J.
,
Hampe
,
Arndt
,
Han
,
Qingmin
,
Holik
,
Jan
,
Hoshizaki
,
K.
,
Ibáñez
,
Inés
,
Johnstone
,
Jill F.
,
Journé
,
Valentin
,
Kitzberger
,
Thomas A.
,
Knops
,
Johannes Michael Hubertus
,
Kunstler
,
Georges
,
Kurokawa
,
Hiroko
,
Lageard
,
Jonathan G.A.
,
LaMontagne
,
Jalene M.
,
Lefèvre
,
François
,
Leininger
,
Theodor D.
,
Limousin
,
Jean Marc
,
Lutz
,
James A.
,
Macias
,
Diana S.
,
Mårell
,
Anders
,
McIntire
,
Eliot J.B.
,
Moore
,
Christopher M.
,
Moran
,
Emily V.
,
Motta
,
Renzo
,
Myers
,
Jonathan A.
,
Nagel
,
Thomas A.
,
Naoe
,
Shoji
,
Noguchi
,
Mahoko
,
Oguro
,
Michio
,
Parmenter
,
Robert R.
,
Pearse
,
Ian S.
,
Pérez-Ramos
,
Ignacio M.
,
Piechnik
,
Łukasz
,
Podgórski
,
Tomasz
,
Poulsen
,
John R.
,
Redmond
,
Miranda D.
,
Reid
,
Chantal D.
,
Rodman
,
Kyle C.
,
Rodríguez-Sánchez
,
Francisco
,
Šamonil
,
Pavel
,
Sanguinetti
,
Javier D.
,
Scher
,
C. Lane
,
Seget
,
Barbara
,
Sharma
,
Shubhi
,
Shibata
,
Mitsue
,
Silman
,
Miles R.
,
Steele
,
Michael A.
,
Stephenson
,
Nathan L.
,
Straub
,
Jacob N.
,
Sutton
,
Samantha
,
Swenson
,
Jennifer J.
,
Swift
,
Margaret
,
Thomas
,
Peter A.
,
Uríarte
,
María
,
Vacchiano
,
Giorgio
,
Whipple
,
Amy Vaughn
,
Whitham
,
Thomas G.
,
Wion
,
Andreas P.
,
Wright
,
Stuart Joseph
,
Zhu
,
Kai
,
Zimmerman
,
Jess K.
,
Żywiec
,
Magdalena
,
Clark
,
James S.
Mostra abstract
The benefits of masting (volatile, quasi-synchronous seed production at lagged intervals) include satiation of seed predators, but these benefits come with a cost to mutualist pollen and seed dispersers. If the evolution of masting represents a balance between these benefits and costs, we expect mast avoidance in species that are heavily reliant on mutualist dispersers. These effects play out in the context of variable climate and site fertility among species that vary widely in nutrient demand. Meta-analyses of published data have focused on variation at the population scale, thus omitting periodicity within trees and synchronicity between trees. From raw data on 12 million tree-years worldwide, we quantified three components of masting that have not previously been analysed together: (i) volatility, defined as the frequency-weighted year-to-year variation; (ii) periodicity, representing the lag between high-seed years; and (iii) synchronicity, indicating the tree-to-tree correlation. Results show that mast avoidance (low volatility and low synchronicity) by species dependent on mutualist dispersers explains more variation than any other effect. Nutrient-demanding species have low volatility, and species that are most common on nutrient-rich and warm/wet sites exhibit short periods. The prevalence of masting in cold/dry sites coincides with climatic conditions where dependence on vertebrate dispersers is less common than in the wet tropics. Mutualist dispersers neutralize the benefits of masting for predator satiation, further balancing the effects of climate, site fertility and nutrient demands. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
Linking seed size and number to trait syndromes in trees
Bogdziewicz
,
Michał
,
Aravena Acuña
,
Marie Claire
,
Andrus
,
Robert A.
,
Ascoli
,
Davide
,
Bergeron
,
Yves
,
Brveiller
,
Daniel
,
Boivin
,
Thomas
,
Bonal
,
Raúl
,
Caignard
,
Thomas
,
Cailleret
,
Maxime
,
Calama
,
Rafael A.
,
Calderon
,
Sergio Donoso
,
Camarero
,
Jesús Julio
,
Chang-Yang
,
Chia Hao
,
Chave
,
Jérôme
,
Chianucci
,
Francesco
,
Cleavitt
,
Natalie L.
,
Courbaud
,
Benoít
,
Cutini
,
Andrea
,
Curt
,
Thomas
,
Das
,
Adrian J.
,
Davi
,
Hendrik
,
Delpierre
,
Nicolas
,
Delzon
,
Sylvain
,
Dietze
,
Michael C.
,
Dormont
,
Laurent
,
Farfan-Rios
,
William R.
,
Gehring
,
Catherine A.
,
Gilbert
,
Gregory S.
,
Gratzer
,
Georg
,
Greenberg
,
Cathryn H.
,
Guignabert
,
Arthur
,
Guo
,
Qinfeng
,
Hacket-Pain
,
Andrew J.
,
Hampe
,
Arndt
,
Han
,
Qingmin
,
Hoshizaki
,
K.
,
Ibáñez
,
Inés
,
Johnstone
,
Jill F.
,
Journé
,
Valentin
,
Kitzberger
,
Thomas A.
,
Knops
,
Johannes Michael Hubertus
,
Kunstler
,
Georges
,
Kobe
,
Richard K.
,
Lageard
,
Jonathan G.A.
,
LaMontagne
,
Jalene M.
,
Ledwoń
,
Mateusz
,
Leininger
,
Theodor D.
,
Limousin
,
Jean Marc
,
Lutz
,
James A.
,
Macias
,
Diana S.
,
Mårell
,
Anders
,
McIntire
,
Eliot J.B.
,
Moran
,
Emily V.
,
Motta
,
Renzo
,
Myers
,
Jonathan A.
,
Nagel
,
Thomas A.
,
Naoe
,
Shoji
,
Noguchi
,
Mahoko
,
Oguro
,
Michio
,
Kurokawa
,
Hiroko
,
Ourcival
,
Jean Marc
,
Parmenter
,
Robert R.
,
Pérez-Ramos
,
Ignacio M.
,
Piechnik
,
Łukasz
,
Podgórski
,
Tomasz
,
Poulsen
,
John R.
,
Qiu
,
Tong
,
Redmond
,
Miranda D.
,
Reid
,
Chantal D.
,
Rodman
,
Kyle C.
,
Šamonil
,
Pavel
,
Holik
,
Jan
,
Scher
,
C. Lane
,
van Marle
,
Harald Schmidt
,
Seget
,
Barbara
,
Shibata
,
Mitsue
,
Sharma
,
Shubhi
,
Silman
,
Miles R.
,
Steele
,
Michael A.
,
Straub
,
Jacob N.
,
Sun
,
I. Fang
,
Sutton
,
Samantha
,
Swenson
,
Jennifer J.
,
Thomas
,
Peter A.
,
Uríarte
,
María
,
Vacchiano
,
Giorgio
,
Veblen
,
Thomas Thorstein
,
Wright
,
Boyd R.
,
Wright
,
Stuart Joseph
,
Whitham
,
Thomas G.
,
Zhu
,
Kai
,
Zimmerman
,
Jess K.
,
Żywiec
,
Magdalena
,
Clark
,
James S.
Mostra abstract
Aim: Our understanding of the mechanisms that maintain forest diversity under changing climate can benefit from knowledge about traits that are closely linked to fitness. We tested whether the link between traits and seed number and seed size is consistent with two hypotheses, termed the leaf economics spectrum and the plant size syndrome, or whether reproduction represents an independent dimension related to a seed size–seed number trade-off. Location: Most of the data come from Europe, North and Central America and East Asia. A minority of the data come from South America, Africa and Australia. Time period: 1960–2022. Major taxa studied: Trees. Methods: We gathered 12 million observations of the number of seeds produced in 784 tree species. We estimated the number of seeds produced by individual trees and scaled it up to the species level. Next, we used principal components analysis and generalized joint attribute modelling (GJAM) to map seed number and size on the tree traits spectrum. Results: Incorporating seed size and number into trait analysis while controlling for environment and phylogeny with GJAM exposes relationships in trees that might otherwise remain hidden. Production of the large total biomass of seeds [product of seed number and seed size; hereafter, species seed productivity (SSP)] is associated with high leaf area, low foliar nitrogen, low specific leaf area (SLA) and dense wood. Production of high seed numbers is associated with small seeds produced by nutrient-demanding species with softwood, small leaves and high SLA. Trait covariation is consistent with opposing strategies: one fast-growing, early successional, with high dispersal, and the other slow-growing, stress-tolerant, that recruit in shaded conditions. Main conclusions: Earth system models currently assume that reproductive allocation is indifferent among plant functional types. Easily measurable seed size is a strong predictor of the seed number and species seed productivity. The connection of SSP with the functional traits can form the first basis of improved fecundity prediction across global forests. © 2023 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.