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Pubblicazioni Scientifiche

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Pubblicazioni per anno
Wall-to-Wall Mapping of Forest Biomass and Wood Volume Increment in Italy
Mostra abstract
Several political initiatives aim to achieve net-zero emissions by the middle of the twenty-first century. In this context, forests are crucial as a carbon sink to store unavoidable emissions. Assessing the carbon sequestration potential of forest ecosystems is pivotal to the availability of accurate forest variable estimates for supporting international reporting and appropriate forest management strategies. Spatially explicit estimates are even more important for Mediterranean countries such as Italy, where the capacity of forests to act as sinks is decreasing due to climate change. This study aimed to develop a spatial approach to obtain high-resolution maps of Italian forest above-ground biomass (ITA-BIO) and current annual volume increment (ITA-CAI), based on remotely sensed and meteorological data. The ITA-BIO estimates were compared with those obtained with two available biomass maps developed in the framework of two international projects (i.e., the Joint Research Center and the European Space Agency biomass maps, namely, JRC-BIO and ESA-BIO). The estimates from ITA-BIO, JRC-BIO, ESA-BIO, and ITA-CAI were compared with the 2nd Italian NFI (INFC) official estimates at regional level (NUT2). The estimates from ITA-BIO are in good agreement with the INFC estimates (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.95, mean difference = 3.8 t ha<sup>−1</sup>), while for JRC-BIO and ESA-BIO, the estimates show R<sup>2</sup> of 0.90 and 0.70, respectively, and mean differences of 13.5 and of 21.8 t ha<sup>−1</sup> with respect to the INFC estimates. ITA-CAI estimates are also in good agreement with the INFC estimates (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.93), even if they tend to be slightly biased. The produced maps are hosted on a web-based forest resources management Decision Support System developed under the project AGRIDIGIT (ForestView) and represent a key element in supporting the new Green Deal in Italy, the European Forest Strategy 2030 and the Italian Forest Strategy. © 2022 by the authors.
From model selection to maps: A completely design-based data-driven inference for mapping forest resources
Mostra abstract
A completely data-driven, design-based sampling strategy is proposed for mapping a forest attribute within the spatial units tessellating a survey region. Based on sample data, a model is selected, and model parameters are estimated using least-squares criteria for predicting the attribute of interest within units as a linear function of a set of auxiliary variables. The spatial interpolation of residuals arising from model predictions is performed by inverse distance weighting. The leave-one-out cross validation procedure is adopted for selecting the smoothing parameter used for interpolation. The densities of the attributes of interest within units are estimated by summing predictions and interpolated residuals. Finally, density estimates are rescaled to match the total estimate over the survey region obtained by the traditional regression estimator with the total estimate obtained from the map as the sum of the density estimates within units. A bootstrap procedure accounts for the uncertainty. The consistency of the strategy is proven by incorporating previous results. A simulation study is performed and an application for mapping wood volume densities in the forest estate of Rincine (Central Italy) is described. © 2022 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.